Greater Growth Scenarios - Land Use Model

The HRTPO used a land use model to examine 2045 population and job increases within each Greater Growth scenario based on attractiveness, or suitability (shown in maps below). For example, the Greater Growth on the Water scenario shows job suitability in areas close to the waterfront, but more widely dispersed population. The model then allocated the growth according to the suitability for each scenario, as shown in the allocation maps below.

Land Use Performance Measures

Each scenario produced important differences in land use patterns. For example, the Greater Growth in Urban Centers scenario shows the most jobs near transit stops, and the Greater Suburban/Greenfield Growth scenario shows the most population growth on undeveloped land.

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Land Use Model Conclusions

• Scenario land use patterns and growth allocation are consistent with the drivers of future growth in each scenario narrative.
• Strong differentiation between the Greater Growth scenarios and a plausible range of alternate futures for the region, led to further exploration, including travel demand and resiliency testing.